Prediction: Hugo Gaston vs Guido Ivan Justo
Team pages: Hugo Gaston · Guido Ivan Justo
Prediction summary
Winner
Hugo Gaston
Guido Ivan Justo
Estimated games
22.2Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Hugo Gaston
5-5 (W-L)
Guido Ivan Justo
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Hugo Gaston 1511 · Guido Ivan Justo 1515
| Hugo Gaston | Guido Ivan Justo | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Hugo Gaston | Guido Ivan Justo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-11.9 | 10.4-9.5 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 1.7 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.1% | 66.4% |
| Break % | 55.1% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +2.7
Over 19.5: 68% · 1.83
Under 19.5: 32% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Hugo Gaston
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Luca Van Assche Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/08 | Jesper De Jong Challenger Quebec City · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 12/08 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 01/08 | Duncan Chan ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 25/07 | Luca Van Assche ATP Estoril · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/07 | Tiago Torres ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Titouan Droguet ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/07 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Jan Choinski Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 11/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
Guido Ivan Justo
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 23/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 15/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Max Hans Rehberg Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Lukas Neumayer Challenger Trieste · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 07/07 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Trieste · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 04/07 | Keegan Smith Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/07 | Olle Wallin Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Hugo Gaston vs Guido Ivan Justo?
Our model gives 71% to Hugo Gaston, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.