Tennis · US Open Women · 25/08, 17:00
Prediction: Katie Swan vs Katrina Scott
Team pages: Katie Swan · Katrina Scott
Prediction summary
Winner
Katie Swan
Katrina Scott
Estimated games
20.5Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Katie Swan
8-2 (W-L)
Katrina Scott
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Katie Swan
1–1
Katrina Scott
(2 last)
- 05 Aug2-1 18-16W
- 20 Aug0-2 6-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Katie Swan 1554 · Katrina Scott 1516
| Katie Swan | Katrina Scott | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 63% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Katie Swan is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Katie Swan | Katrina Scott | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 60% (5) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.5 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-7.8 | 8.9-8.8 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 1.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.8% | 63.8% |
| Break % | 55.1% | 49.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -1
Over 21.5: 43% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 57% · 1.90
H2H · Katie Swan 1 – 1 Katrina Scott (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Katie Swan 1–1 Katrina Scott
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08/22 ITF W60 Lexington | 2-1 | 18-16 | W |
| 20/08/19 US Open Women | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Katie Swan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/07 | Madison Keys Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Irina-Camelia Begu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/06 | Tereza Martincova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 04/06 | Taylah Preston WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/05 | Kyoka Okamura W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 16/05 | Mei Yamaguchi W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 15/05 | Sara Saito W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/05 | Dalayna Hewitt W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 13/05 | Chika Miyahara W75 Kurume · ~Carpet |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Katrina Scott
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Anastasia Zakharova W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Mai Hontama W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 07/08 | Yexin Ma W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 05/08 | Elvina Kalieva W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Ellie Schoppe WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/07 | Sabastiani Leon WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/07 | Mary Stoiana WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Savannah Broadus W100 Cary · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/06 | Reese Brantmeier W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/06 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W100 Sumter · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Katie Swan vs Katrina Scott?
Our model gives 59% to Katie Swan, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.