Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Qinwen Zheng vs Xiaodi You
Team pages: Qinwen Zheng · Xiaodi You
Prediction summary
Winner
Qinwen Zheng
Xiaodi You
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Qinwen Zheng
5-5 (W-L)
Xiaodi You
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Qinwen Zheng
0–1
Xiaodi You
(1 last)
- 30 Mar0-2 5-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Qinwen Zheng 1475 · Xiaodi You 1428
| Qinwen Zheng | Xiaodi You | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Qinwen Zheng (rating 1475 vs 1428).
- Head-to-head: Qinwen Zheng 0–1 Xiaodi You (1).
- Note: Qinwen Zheng makes many double faults (5.2/match).
- Note: Xiaodi You makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Qinwen Zheng | Xiaodi You | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.4 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.4 | 9-12.2 |
| Aces | 9.9 | 4.1 |
| Double faults | 5.2 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.1% | 56.2% |
| Break % | 32.3% | 49.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +3.4
Over 18.5: 72% · 2.00
Under 18.5: 28% · 1.72
H2H · Qinwen Zheng 0 – 1 Xiaodi You (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Qinwen Zheng 0–1 Xiaodi You
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/18 ITF Women Nanjing | 0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Qinwen Zheng
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Alexandra Eala WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 17/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Elena Micic WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/07 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro WTA Athens · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 29/06 | Katerina Siniakova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Clara Tauson WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 22/06 | Solana Sierra WTA Bad Homburg · Grass |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/06 | Talia Gibson WTA Nottingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Maria Sakkari WTA Nottingham · Grass |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
Xiaodi You
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Leolia Jeanjean Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 09/06 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/06 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Foggia · Clay |
1-2 | 8-18 | L |
| 28/05 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/05 | Natalija Senic W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/05 | Francisca Jorge French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/05 | En Shuo Liang WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 09/05 | Xinxin Yao WTA Jiujiang · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Qinwen Zheng vs Xiaodi You?
Our model gives 75% to Qinwen Zheng, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.