Prediction: Dalibor Svrcina vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Team pages: Dalibor Svrcina · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Prediction summary
Winner
Dalibor Svrcina
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
Estimated games
24.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dalibor Svrcina
4-6 (W-L)
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dalibor Svrcina
0–1
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
(1 last)
- 22 Aug1-2 11-14L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dalibor Svrcina 1449 · Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves 1617
| Dalibor Svrcina | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 28% | 72% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (rating 1449 vs 1617).
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Dalibor Svrcina 0–1 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (1).
- Note: Dalibor Svrcina makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Dalibor Svrcina | Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 90% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.6 | 1.8-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-13.8 | 13.3-10.7 |
| Aces | 3 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 1.2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.3% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 55.2% | 54% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.6
Over 22.5: 61% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 39% · 1.80
H2H · Dalibor Svrcina 0 – 1 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalibor Svrcina 0–1 Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08/23 US Open | 1-2 | 11-14 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalibor Svrcina
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Stan Wawrinka Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 13/08 | Mark Lajal ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 01/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 31/07 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Adam Walton ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Bastad · Clay |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 08/07 | Diego Dedura-Palomero Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Braunschweig · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Learner Tien Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-24 | L |
| 18/06 | Gonzalo Bueno Challenger Poznan · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Moise Kouame Challenger Cancun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Dali Blanch Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Luka Pavlovic Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 08/08 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Maximo Zeitune M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 06/08 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl M25 Londrina |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 05/08 | Enzo Kohlmann De Freitas M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez M25 Londrina |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 26/07 | Paulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Lucas Andrade da Silva M25 Sao Paulo |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalibor Svrcina vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves?
Our model gives 52% to Dalibor Svrcina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.