Prediction: Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer
Team pages: Franco Roncadelli · Elias Ymer
Prediction summary
Winner
Franco Roncadelli
Elias Ymer
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Franco Roncadelli
3-7 (W-L)
Elias Ymer
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Franco Roncadelli 1491 · Elias Ymer 1467
| Franco Roncadelli | Elias Ymer | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 15% | 85% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Franco Roncadelli | Elias Ymer | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.6-11.3 | 9.7-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 5.8 |
| Double faults | 0.7 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 57.5% | 71.3% |
| Break % | 46.1% | 25.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.4
Over 20.5: 59% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 41% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Franco Roncadelli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Norbert Gombos Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 28/07 | Jakub Nicod Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Henri Squire Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Oskari Paldanius Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 17/07 | Max Alcala Gurri Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Giustino Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 06/07 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Trieste · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Challenger Brasov · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Elias Ymer
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Daniil Glinka Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Paul Jubb Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/08 | Federico Cina Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Trevor Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Timofey Skatov Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Nikoloz Basilashvili Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 16/06 | Henry Searle Challenger Dublin · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 08/06 | Ugo Humbert ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Niels Visker ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/06 | Mac Visser ATP Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Franco Roncadelli vs Elias Ymer?
Our model gives 68% to Elias Ymer, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.