Prediction: Guy Den Ouden vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Team pages: Guy Den Ouden · Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Prediction summary
Winner
Guy Den Ouden
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Estimated games
20.4Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Guy Den Ouden
6-4 (W-L)
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Guy Den Ouden
1–0
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
(1 last)
- 13 Sept2-0 12-5W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Guy Den Ouden 1572 · Genaro Alberto Olivieri 1487
| Guy Den Ouden | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 78% | 22% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guy Den Ouden (rating 1572 vs 1487).
- Guy Den Ouden is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Guy Den Ouden 1–0 Genaro Alberto Olivieri (1).
Statistics
| Guy Den Ouden | Genaro Alberto Olivieri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | 44% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.8 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.2-9.1 | 8-9 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1 |
| 1st serve % | 71.2% | 55.9% |
| Break % | 47% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.4 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -1.1
Over 21.5: 43% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 57% · 1.90
H2H · Guy Den Ouden 1 – 0 Genaro Alberto Olivieri (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Guy Den Ouden 1–0 Genaro Alberto Olivieri
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/24 Challenger Dobrich | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Guy Den Ouden
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/08 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/08 | Alexandre Muller Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Tom Gentzsch Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 18/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Ryan Nijboer Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/07 | Hynek Barton Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/07 | Denis Yevseyev Challenger Bunschoten · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Kimmer Coppejans Challenger Liege · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Genaro Alberto Olivieri
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Vilius Gaubas Challenger San Marino · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Carlos Taberner Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Marcel Zielinski Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Jeri Lassila Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/07 | Marco Cecchinato ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Noa Vukadin ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Taro Daniel Challenger Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Tristan Boyer Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 17/06 | Michele Ribecai Challenger Poznan · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Guy Den Ouden vs Genaro Alberto Olivieri?
Our model gives 71% to Guy Den Ouden, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.