Prediction: Marco Cecchinato vs Liam Broady
Team pages: Marco Cecchinato · Liam Broady
Prediction summary
Winner
Marco Cecchinato
Liam Broady
Estimated games
23.7Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Marco Cecchinato
8-2 (W-L)
Liam Broady
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Marco Cecchinato
0–1
Liam Broady
(1 last)
- 28 Jun0-3 7-18L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marco Cecchinato 1551 · Liam Broady 1430
| Marco Cecchinato | Liam Broady | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marco Cecchinato (rating 1551 vs 1430).
- Marco Cecchinato is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Marco Cecchinato 0–1 Liam Broady (1).
- Note: Liam Broady makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Marco Cecchinato | Liam Broady | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 30% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.5 | 12.1-12.5 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 4.6 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 72.9% | 72% |
| Break % | 48.6% | 35.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.7 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +2.2
Over 21.5: 65% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 35% · 1.83
H2H · Marco Cecchinato 0 – 1 Liam Broady (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Marco Cecchinato 0–1 Liam Broady
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/21 Wimbledon | 0-3 | 7-18 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marco Cecchinato
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Nicolas Kicker Challenger Todi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/08 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Francesco Forti Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/08 | Nick Hardt Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 29/07 | Alexandre Muller Challenger San Marino · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 28/07 | Franco Agamenone Challenger San Marino · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Umag · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/07 | Genaro Alberto Olivieri ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/07 | Duje Ajdukovic ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/07 | Facundo Diaz Acosta Challenger Milan · Clay |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
Liam Broady
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 04/08 | Ozan Baris Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Jay Friend Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 21/07 | Yuta Shimizu Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/07 | Jack Kennedy Challenger Cary · Hard |
1-2 | 17-16 | L |
| 30/06 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marco Cecchinato vs Liam Broady?
Our model gives 54% to Liam Broady, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.