Tennis · US Open · 24/08, 18:30

Prediction: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbausch

Team pages: Vilius Gaubas · Kilian Feldbausch

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Vilius Gaubas Kilian Feldbausch
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Vilius Gaubas 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLLWWWLW
Kilian Feldbausch 8-2 (W-L)
WLLWWWWWWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vilius Gaubas 1500 · Kilian Feldbausch 1550
Vilius GaubasKilian Feldbausch
Our model43%57%
Market56%44%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kilian Feldbausch (rating 1500 vs 1550).

Statistics

Vilius GaubasKilian Feldbausch
Win %40%60%
Win % · Clay 44% (9) 60% (10)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.41.5-0.9
Games (G-P)11-11.811.6-10
Aces3.61.3
Double faults1.92.9
1st serve %66.7%67.4%
Break %37.3%41%
Estimated total games (ours) 22 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -1.5
Over 23.5: 40% · 1.83 Under 23.5: 60% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vilius Gaubas

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Max Houkes
Challenger Hagen · Clay
1-2 14-14 L
01/08 Facundo Diaz Acosta
Challenger San Marino · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
31/07 Thiago Monteiro
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
30/07 Genaro Alberto Olivieri
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
28/07 Luka Pavlovic
Challenger San Marino · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
21/07 Pablo Carreno Busta
ATP Estoril · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
13/07 Jesper De Jong
ATP Bastad · Clay
0-2 11-14 L
09/07 Facundo Diaz Acosta
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
07/07 Nikoloz Basilashvili
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-1 18-12 W
30/06 Kyrian Jacquet
Wimbledon · Grass
0-3 13-19 L

Kilian Feldbausch

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/07 Norbert Gombos
Challenger Liberec · Clay
1-2 8-16 L
30/07 Duje Ajdukovic
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
28/07 Harold Mayot
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-1 18-14 W
22/07 Ignacio Buse
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
1-2 10-14 L
21/07 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
19/07 Sandro Kopp
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
18/07 Gustavo Heide
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
13/07 Miomir Kecmanovic
ATP Gstaad · Clay
1-2 10-13 L
05/07 Marvin Moeller
Challenger Troyes · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
04/07 Lorenzo Giustino
Challenger Troyes · Clay
2-0 12-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbausch?

Our model gives 50% to Vilius Gaubas, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.