Prediction: Federico Agustin Gomez vs Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Team pages: Federico Agustin Gomez · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Federico Agustin Gomez
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
Estimated games
22.9Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Federico Agustin Gomez
7-3 (W-L)
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Federico Agustin Gomez
0–1
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
(1 last)
- 26 Apr0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Federico Agustin Gomez 1557 · Mohamed Aziz Dougaz 1554
| Federico Agustin Gomez | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Mohamed Aziz Dougaz dominates on serve: 8.5 aces and 40.9% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Federico Agustin Gomez 0–1 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (1).
Statistics
| Federico Agustin Gomez | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 70% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.2 | 14-11 |
| Aces | 3.1 | 8.5 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 78.3% |
| Break % | 55.3% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9 · Bet365 line 24.5 · -1.6
Over 24.5: 39% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 61% · 1.83
H2H · Federico Agustin Gomez 0 – 1 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Federico Agustin Gomez 0–1 Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04/23 Challenger Savannah | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Federico Agustin Gomez
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Daniel Elahi Galan Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 11/08 | Juan Cruz Martin Manzano Challenger Todi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Jan Choinski Challenger Bonn · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 31/07 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 30/07 | Samuele Pieri Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 15/07 | Matteo Arnaldi ATP Umag · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 14/07 | Niels McDonald ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/07 | Andrea Guerrieri ATP Umag · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Mohamed Aziz Dougaz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Astana · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 15/08 | Sergey Fomin Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 14/08 | Jie Cui Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 13/08 | Manas Manoj Dhamne Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 11/08 | Alec Deckers Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 04/08 | Mirza Basic Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/08 | Dimitris Sakellaridis Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/08 | Alan Bojarski Challenger Grodzisk Mazowiecki · Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 25/07 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Federico Agustin Gomez vs Mohamed Aziz Dougaz?
Our model gives 50% to Federico Agustin Gomez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.