Tennis · US Open · 24/08, 18:30

Prediction: Kyrian Jacquet vs Lautaro Midon

Team pages: Kyrian Jacquet · Lautaro Midon

Prediction summary
Winner
66% 34%
Kyrian Jacquet Lautaro Midon
Estimated games
23.8Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kyrian Jacquet 5-5 (W-L)
WLLWLWWWLL
Lautaro Midon 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLWWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kyrian Jacquet 1511 · Lautaro Midon 1547
Kyrian JacquetLautaro Midon
Our model45%55%
Market83%17%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Note: Kyrian Jacquet makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Kyrian JacquetLautaro Midon
Win %50%60%
Win % · Clay 50% (4) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.21.4-1
Games (G-P)12.1-11.412.4-11.7
Aces4.14.6
Double faults4.11.5
1st serve %70.7%73.5%
Break %37.3%41.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.8 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +3.3
Over 20.5: 72% · 1.80 Under 20.5: 28% · 1.90

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kyrian Jacquet

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/08 Aleksandar Vukic
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
14/08 Adolfo Daniel Vallejo
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
13/08 Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
12/08 Billy Harris
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
04/08 Gabriel Diallo
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 12-18 L
01/08 Alexander Shevchenko
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
22/07 Alexander Blockx
ATP Estoril · Clay
1-2 16-16 L
21/07 Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Estoril · Clay
2-1 14-12 W
19/07 Taro Daniel
ATP Estoril · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
18/07 Goncalo Da Rosa Castro
ATP Estoril · Clay
2-0 12-3 W

Lautaro Midon

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
20/08 Clement Chidekh
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
17/08 Dan Martin
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-1 17-14 W
16/07 Alejandro Tabilo
ATP Bastad · Clay
1-2 15-18 L
14/07 Facundo Diaz Acosta
ATP Bastad · Clay
2-1 15-12 W
13/07 Igor Marcondes
ATP Bastad · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
12/07 William Rejchtman Vinciguerra
ATP Bastad · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
10/07 Zsombor Piros
Challenger Iasi · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
08/07 Ilia Simakin
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 13-8 W
06/07 Radu Mihai Papoe
Challenger Iasi · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
01/07 Sascha Gueymard Wayenburg
Challenger Brasov · Clay
1-2 13-16 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kyrian Jacquet vs Lautaro Midon?

Our model gives 66% to Kyrian Jacquet, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.