Prediction: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Tom Gentzsch
Team pages: Pol Martin Tiffon · Tom Gentzsch
Prediction summary
Winner
Pol Martin Tiffon
Tom Gentzsch
Estimated games
22.7Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Pol Martin Tiffon
7-3 (W-L)
Tom Gentzsch
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Pol Martin Tiffon 1529 · Tom Gentzsch 1603
| Pol Martin Tiffon | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tom Gentzsch (rating 1529 vs 1603).
- Tom Gentzsch dominates on serve: 6.4 aces and 44.6% break avg.
Statistics
| Pol Martin Tiffon | Tom Gentzsch | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Clay | 63% (8) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.8-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-10.2 | 14.4-11.3 |
| Aces | 3.9 | 6.4 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 73.8% | 74.1% |
| Break % | 34.5% | 44.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -0.8
Over 23.5: 45% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 55% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Pol Martin Tiffon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Pablo Llamas Ruiz Wimbledon · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Gilles Arnaud Bailly Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/05 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 28/05 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 26/05 | Pietro Orlando Fellin Challenger Vicenza · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/05 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 18/05 | Yannick Theodor Alexandrescou Challenger Istanbul · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/05 | Jay Clarke Challenger Tunis · Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/05 | Charles Broom Challenger Tunis · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/05 | Lukas Pokorny Challenger Tunis · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Tom Gentzsch
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Jerome Kym Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/08 | Zsombor Piros Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Henri Squire Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/08 | Chun Hsin Tseng Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Thiago Monteiro Challenger Hagen · Clay |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Max Dahlin Challenger Bonn · Clay |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Joao Lucas Reis da Silva Challenger Bonn · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Tampere · Clay |
1-2 | 12-18 | L |
| 22/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Dali Blanch Challenger Tampere · Clay |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Pol Martin Tiffon vs Tom Gentzsch?
Our model gives 62% to Tom Gentzsch, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.