Tennis · US Open · 24/08, 17:00

Prediction: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionov

Team pages: Kimmer Coppejans · Jurij Rodionov

Prediction summary
Winner
46% 54%
Kimmer Coppejans Jurij Rodionov
Estimated games
21Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Kimmer Coppejans 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWWLLWL
Jurij Rodionov 6-4 (W-L)
LWWWWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kimmer Coppejans 1553 · Jurij Rodionov 1527
Kimmer CoppejansJurij Rodionov
Our model54%46%
Market39%61%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Jurij Rodionov dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 44.5% break avg.

Statistics

Kimmer CoppejansJurij Rodionov
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 67% (9) 56% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.2-0.81.1-1
Games (G-P)9.5-8.410.5-10.3
Aces2.76.5
Double faults23
1st serve %70.4%71.6%
Break %44.7%44.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 21 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.5
Over 22.5: 40% · 1.83 Under 22.5: 60% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kimmer Coppejans

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Max Hans Rehberg
Challenger Prague · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
17/08 Miguel Damas
Challenger Prague · Clay
2-0 13-6 W
25/07 Martin Damm
ATP Washington · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
18/07 Guy Den Ouden
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
17/07 Daniel Elahi Galan
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 12-3 W
15/07 Louis Wessels
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
14/07 Pedro Boscardin Dias
Challenger Bunschoten · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
11/07 Florian Broska
Challenger Liege · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
10/07 Guy Den Ouden
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
09/07 Daniel Michalski
Challenger Liege · Clay
2-0 13-9 W

Jurij Rodionov

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
18/08 Rei Sakamoto
Challenger Quebec City · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
31/07 Jamie Mackenzie
Challenger Bonn · Clay
0-2 10-13 L
29/07 Niels McDonald
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
27/07 Pedro Boscardin Dias
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-0 12-7 W
22/07 Tomas Martin Etcheverry
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
0-2 8-13 L
20/07 Joel Schwaerzler
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
19/07 Vitaliy Sachko
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 13-10 W
18/07 Andrey Chepelev
ATP Kitzbuhel · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
13/07 Clement Tabur
ATP Gstaad · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
30/06 Mathys Erhard
Challenger Milan · Clay
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionov?

Our model gives 54% to Jurij Rodionov, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.