Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 23:00
Prediction: Eva Vedder vs Bianca Andreescu
Team pages: Eva Vedder · Bianca Andreescu
Prediction summary
Winner
Eva Vedder
Bianca Andreescu
Estimated games
21.9Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Eva Vedder
6-4 (W-L)
Bianca Andreescu
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Eva Vedder
0–1
Bianca Andreescu
(1 last)
- 11 Jun1-2 11-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eva Vedder 1525 · Bianca Andreescu 1471
| Eva Vedder | Bianca Andreescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 42% |
| Market | 17% | 83% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eva Vedder (rating 1525 vs 1471).
- Eva Vedder is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Eva Vedder 0–1 Bianca Andreescu (1).
Statistics
| Eva Vedder | Bianca Andreescu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.3 | 10.3-11.3 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 9.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 3.5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.6% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 45.2% | 36.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +3.4
Over 18.5: 72% · 1.80
Under 18.5: 28% · 1.90
H2H · Eva Vedder 0 – 1 Bianca Andreescu (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Eva Vedder 0–1 Bianca Andreescu
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/24 WTA Hertogenbosch | 1-2 | 11-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eva Vedder
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Sohyun Park W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Mona Barthel WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 19/07 | Georgina Garcia-Perez WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 16/07 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Francesca Pace WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/07 | Lea Boskovic W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 11/07 | Alena Kovackova W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 10/07 | Gina Feistel W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 09/07 | Weronika Falkowska W75 The Hague |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/07 | Nina Vargova W75 The Hague |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
Bianca Andreescu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/06 | Shuai Zhang Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 25/06 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Jil Teichmann Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 23/06 | Polona Hercog Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 08/06 | Elise Mertens WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/05 | Viktoria Hruncakova French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 19/05 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 07/05 | Belinda Bencic WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eva Vedder vs Bianca Andreescu?
Our model gives 65% to Bianca Andreescu, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.