Tennis · US Open Women · 25/08, 17:00
Prediction: Jodie Anna Burrage vs Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
Team pages: Jodie Anna Burrage · Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
Prediction summary
Winner
Jodie Anna Burrage
Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
Estimated games
21.6Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jodie Anna Burrage
6-4 (W-L)
Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jodie Anna Burrage 1592 · Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales 1526
| Jodie Anna Burrage | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jodie Anna Burrage (rating 1592 vs 1526).
- Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales dominates on serve: 8.7 aces and 49.5% break avg.
- Jodie Anna Burrage is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Jodie Anna Burrage | Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-9.5 | 10.1-8.9 |
| Aces | 3.4 | 8.7 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 49.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.6 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.1
Over 20.5: 58% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 42% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jodie Anna Burrage
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Susan Bandecchi W35 Aldershot |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 13/08 | Victoria Allen W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Anouk Koevermans W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 11/08 | Esther Adeshina W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Hiromi Abe W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 06/08 | Naiktha Bains W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Esther Adeshina W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 03/08 | Kristina Paskauskas W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 02/08 | Matilde Mariani W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/07 | Britt Du Pree W50 Dublin |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Alicia Herrero Linana W50 Hamburg |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Jenny Lim W75 Koksijde |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 30/05 | Jennifer Ruggeri W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/05 | Elizabeth Mandlik W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 28/05 | Aran Teixido Garcia W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/05 | Anastasia Tikhonova W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/05 | Kaitlin Quevedo French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 20/05 | Kaja Juvan French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/05 | Julie Belgraver French Open Women · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/05 | Donna Vekic WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jodie Anna Burrage vs Guiomar Maristany Zuleta De Reales?
Our model gives 67% to Jodie Anna Burrage, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.