Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 18:30
Prediction: Ayla Aksu vs Lucrezia Stefanini
Team pages: Ayla Aksu · Lucrezia Stefanini
Prediction summary
Winner
Ayla Aksu
Lucrezia Stefanini
Estimated games
20.9Bet365 line 19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ayla Aksu
4-6 (W-L)
Lucrezia Stefanini
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ayla Aksu
0–1
Lucrezia Stefanini
(1 last)
- 30 Aug0-2 7-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ayla Aksu 1482 · Lucrezia Stefanini 1520
| Ayla Aksu | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 45% | 55% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Ayla Aksu 0–1 Lucrezia Stefanini (1).
Statistics
| Ayla Aksu | Lucrezia Stefanini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.5-11.6 | 9.7-8.9 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 60.9% | 52.1% |
| Break % | 56.1% | 64.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9 · Bet365 line 19.5 · +1.4
Over 19.5: 59% · 1.80
Under 19.5: 41% · 1.90
H2H · Ayla Aksu 0 – 1 Lucrezia Stefanini (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ayla Aksu 0–1 Lucrezia Stefanini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/23 ITF W60 Collonge-Bellerive | 0-2 | 7-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ayla Aksu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Alana Smith W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Allegra Korpanec Davies W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 22/07 | Daria Snigur WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Sofia Costoulas WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Viktoria Morvayova WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 27/06 | Elena Micic W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 26/06 | Anna Kubareva W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/06 | Celia Cervino Ruiz W50 Palma del Rio · ~Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Lucrezia Stefanini
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Marie Bouzkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/08 | Maria Camila Osorio WTA Toronto · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Sofia Kenin WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Evansville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 24/07 | Mananchaya Sawangkaew W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Ayana Akli W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Elizabeth Mandlik W100 Evansville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 10/07 | Tatjana Maria WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ayla Aksu vs Lucrezia Stefanini?
Our model gives 68% to Lucrezia Stefanini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.