Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 18:30
Prediction: Madison Brengle vs Anastasia Gasanova
Team pages: Madison Brengle · Anastasia Gasanova
Prediction summary
Winner
Madison Brengle
Anastasia Gasanova
Estimated games
23.1Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Madison Brengle
5-5 (W-L)
Anastasia Gasanova
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Madison Brengle
1–0
Anastasia Gasanova
(1 last)
- 08 Oct2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Madison Brengle 1475 · Anastasia Gasanova 1526
| Madison Brengle | Anastasia Gasanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Anastasia Gasanova (rating 1475 vs 1526).
- Head-to-head: Madison Brengle 1–0 Anastasia Gasanova (1).
- Note: Anastasia Gasanova makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Madison Brengle | Anastasia Gasanova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 67% (3) | 80% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.2 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.8-11.1 | 11.6-11.4 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 51.1% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.6
Over 21.5: 61% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 39% · 1.90
H2H · Madison Brengle 1 – 0 Anastasia Gasanova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Madison Brengle 1–0 Anastasia Gasanova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/25 ITF W100 Edmond | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Madison Brengle
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Hanne Vandewinkel W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Emerson Jones WTA Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Alexandra Vagramov WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 23/07 | Yuki Naito W100 Evansville |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 10/07 | Greet Minnen WTA Newport · Grass |
0-2 | 5-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Kayla Cross WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 08/07 | Ana Sofia Sanchez WTA Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/07 | Tatum Evans W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 01/07 | Maya Iyengar W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/06 | Amelia Honer W35 Rome |
0-1 | 5-6 | L |
Anastasia Gasanova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07 | Harmony Tan WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 01/07 | Naomi Osaka Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/06 | Emiliana Arango Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/06 | Darja Semenistaja Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/06 | Emerson Jones Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 23/06 | Varvara Lepchenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 28/05 | Martha Matoula W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 18/05 | Greet Minnen French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Polina Kudermetova WTA Istanbul · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Madison Brengle vs Anastasia Gasanova?
Our model gives 60% to Anastasia Gasanova, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.