Tennis · US Open Women · 25/08, 17:00
Prediction: Dalma Galfi vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Team pages: Dalma Galfi · Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Prediction summary
Winner
Dalma Galfi
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Estimated games
24.7Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dalma Galfi
3-7 (W-L)
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Dalma Galfi
1–1
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
(2 last)
- 02 Apr2-0 13-6W
- 22 Mar0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dalma Galfi 1425 · Aliaksandra Sasnovich 1464
| Dalma Galfi | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Aliaksandra Sasnovich makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Dalma Galfi | Aliaksandra Sasnovich | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 30% |
| Win % · Grass | 25% (4) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.7 | 0.9-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-13.3 | 12.8-13.8 |
| Aces | 5.2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 60.5% | 63.3% |
| Break % | 42.3% | 61.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.7 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +3.2
Over 21.5: 71% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 29% · 1.90
H2H · Dalma Galfi 1 – 1 Aliaksandra Sasnovich (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalma Galfi 1–1 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/04/25 WTA La Bisbal D'Emporda | 2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 22/03/23 WTA Miami | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dalma Galfi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Ella Seidel WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Mayar Sherif WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Kajsa Rinaldo Persson WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/06 | Francisca Jorge Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Suzan Lamens WTA Berlin · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 12/06 | Elizabeth Mandlik WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Emerson Jones WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 20-18 | W |
| 26/05 | Mayar Sherif French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/05 | Anastasia Potapova WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 05/05 | Julia Grabher WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Aliaksandra Sasnovich
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Emiliana Arango WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 21/07 | Maria Timofeeva WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Athens · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 25/06 | Bianca Andreescu Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Storm Hunter Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 23/06 | Katy Dunne Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 13/06 | Magdalena Frech WTA Berlin · Grass |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 07/06 | Storm Hunter WTA Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 19-19 | L |
| 22/05 | Marina Bassols Ribera French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dalma Galfi vs Aliaksandra Sasnovich?
Our model gives 59% to Aliaksandra Sasnovich, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.