Tennis · US Open Women · 25/08, 17:00
Prediction: Vendula Valdmannova vs Maria Lourdes Carle
Team pages: Vendula Valdmannova · Maria Lourdes Carle
Prediction summary
Winner
Vendula Valdmannova
Maria Lourdes Carle
Estimated games
21.5Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Vendula Valdmannova
7-3 (W-L)
Maria Lourdes Carle
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vendula Valdmannova 1593 · Maria Lourdes Carle 1532
| Vendula Valdmannova | Maria Lourdes Carle | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Vendula Valdmannova (rating 1593 vs 1532).
- Note: Vendula Valdmannova makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Maria Lourdes Carle makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Vendula Valdmannova | Maria Lourdes Carle | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 67% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-9.2 | 10.2-9.4 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.9% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 52.6% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.5 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1
Over 20.5: 57% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 43% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vendula Valdmannova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 05/08 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 04/08 | Marcelina Podlinska WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/08 | Amelia Rajecki W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Valentina Ryser W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 31/07 | Victoria Allen W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 30/07 | Isis Louise Van den Broek W50 Dublin |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Aliesia Reva W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/07 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Maria Lourdes Carle
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07 | Emma Lene W100 Gran Canaria |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Anhelina Kalinina WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Jule Niemeier WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 20/07 | Jessica Pieri WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/07 | Emily Eigelsbach WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 17/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/07 | Barbora Palicova WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 14/07 | Kathinka Von Deichmann WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 08/07 | Anna Blinkova WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Laura Pigossi WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vendula Valdmannova vs Maria Lourdes Carle?
Our model gives 68% to Vendula Valdmannova, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.