Tennis · US Open Women · 25/08, 17:00
Prediction: Sofia Costoulas vs Jennifer Ruggeri
Team pages: Sofia Costoulas · Jennifer Ruggeri
Prediction summary
Winner
Sofia Costoulas
Jennifer Ruggeri
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Sofia Costoulas
5-5 (W-L)
Jennifer Ruggeri
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sofia Costoulas 1493 · Jennifer Ruggeri 1522
| Sofia Costoulas | Jennifer Ruggeri | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jennifer Ruggeri makes many double faults (7.9/match).
Statistics
| Sofia Costoulas | Jennifer Ruggeri | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | – | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-9.8 | 12-13.2 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 7.9 |
| 1st serve % | 64.1% | 61.1% |
| Break % | 42.5% | 40.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +4
Over 18.5: 76% · 2.00
Under 18.5: 24% · 1.72
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sofia Costoulas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Matilde Jorge W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Sofia Camila Rojas W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 12/08 | Eva Alvarez Sande W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 04/08 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Maddison Inglis WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Lizette Cabrera WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 19/07 | Ayla Aksu WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Nao Hibino WTA Prague · Hard |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Tereza Valentova WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Jennifer Ruggeri
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/07 | Francesca Jones WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 22/07 | Lola Radivojevic WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 20/07 | Amarissa Kiara Toth WTA Palermo · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/07 | Teodora Kostovic WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Anouck Vrancken Peeters W75 The Hague |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 18/06 | Mayar Sherif WTA Brescia · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 16/06 | Elena Ruxandra Bertea WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 15/06 | Tatiana Pieri WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/06 | Yelyzaveta Kotliar WTA Brescia · Clay |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Martina Trevisan WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sofia Costoulas vs Jennifer Ruggeri?
Our model gives 70% to Sofia Costoulas, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.