Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 18:30
Prediction: Elina Avanesyan vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Team pages: Elina Avanesyan · Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Prediction summary
Winner
Elina Avanesyan
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
Estimated games
22.2Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Elina Avanesyan
6-4 (W-L)
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Elina Avanesyan
1–0
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
(1 last)
- 07 Apr2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Elina Avanesyan 1563 · Andrea Lazaro Garcia 1483
| Elina Avanesyan | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 61% | 39% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Elina Avanesyan (rating 1563 vs 1483).
- Head-to-head: Elina Avanesyan 1–0 Andrea Lazaro Garcia (1).
Statistics
| Elina Avanesyan | Andrea Lazaro Garcia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.7-8.7 | 11.2-11.7 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 0.6 |
| Double faults | 3.8 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 62.4% | 57.8% |
| Break % | 60.7% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.2 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +0.7
Over 21.5: 55% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 45% · 1.80
H2H · Elina Avanesyan 1 – 0 Andrea Lazaro Garcia (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Elina Avanesyan 1–0 Andrea Lazaro Garcia
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/04/26 WTA Madrid | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Elina Avanesyan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Anna Bondar WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 18-18 | L |
| 23/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Arantxa Rus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 20/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 15/07 | Petra Marcinko WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Moyuka Uchijima WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/07 | Irina Fetecau WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Emily Seibold WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 07/07 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/06 | Elena Malygina Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Andrea Lazaro Garcia
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/08 | Aurora Zantedeschi W75 Leipzig |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 04/08 | Chloe Paquet W75 Leipzig |
2-0 | 12-10 | W |
| 31/07 | Laura Pigossi W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Nadia Podoroska W100 Gran Canaria |
2-1 | 12-13 | W |
| 28/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Alina Korneeva Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 14-19 | L |
| 23/06 | Nuria Brancaccio Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/06 | Julia Grabher WTA Modena · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 05/06 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Makarska · Clay |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 04/06 | Simona Waltert WTA Makarska · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Elina Avanesyan vs Andrea Lazaro Garcia?
Our model gives 63% to Elina Avanesyan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.