Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 18:30
Prediction: Mai Hontama vs Lina Gjorcheska
Team pages: Mai Hontama · Lina Gjorcheska
Prediction summary
Winner
Mai Hontama
Lina Gjorcheska
Estimated games
21.7Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mai Hontama
6-4 (W-L)
Lina Gjorcheska
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Mai Hontama
0–1
Lina Gjorcheska
(1 last)
- 09 May0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mai Hontama 1540 · Lina Gjorcheska 1473
| Mai Hontama | Lina Gjorcheska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Mai Hontama (rating 1540 vs 1473).
- Mai Hontama is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Mai Hontama 0–1 Lina Gjorcheska (1).
- Note: Lina Gjorcheska makes many double faults (10.2/match).
Statistics
| Mai Hontama | Lina Gjorcheska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 71% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-9.4 | 9.9-10.9 |
| Aces | 0.1 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 10.2 |
| 1st serve % | 58.4% | 64.6% |
| Break % | 52.9% | 36.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 51% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 49% · 1.80
H2H · Mai Hontama 0 – 1 Lina Gjorcheska (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Mai Hontama 0–1 Lina Gjorcheska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/24 W75 Trnava | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mai Hontama
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Katrina Scott W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Yeon Woo Ku W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Erika Andreeva W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 31/07 | Maddison Inglis WTA Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Himeno Sakatsume WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Jia-Jing Lu WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 28/07 | Kayla Day WTA Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Lilli Tagger WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Diane Parry WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Valentina Ryser WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Lina Gjorcheska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Varvara Panshina W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Alena Kovackova W75 Leipzig |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 04/08 | Anastasiia Firman W75 Leipzig |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 20/07 | Erika Andreeva WTA Palermo · Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Deborah Chiesa WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 30/06 | Amanda Anisimova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 25/06 | Lucia Bronzetti Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/06 | Francisca Jorge Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Angela Fita Boluda Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 10/06 | Ekaterina Kazionova W100 Zagreb · ~Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mai Hontama vs Lina Gjorcheska?
Our model gives 66% to Mai Hontama, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.