Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 20:00
Prediction: Polina Iatcenko vs Julie Struplova
Team pages: Polina Iatcenko · Julie Struplova
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Iatcenko
Julie Struplova
Estimated games
21.4Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Iatcenko
5-5 (W-L)
Julie Struplova
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Iatcenko 1465 · Julie Struplova 1539
| Polina Iatcenko | Julie Struplova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 60% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julie Struplova (rating 1465 vs 1539).
- Note: Polina Iatcenko makes many double faults (5.7/match).
- Note: Julie Struplova makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Polina Iatcenko | Julie Struplova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.1 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.2-10.6 | 11.7-10.9 |
| Aces | 2.5 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 5.7 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.1% | 57.5% |
| Break % | 50% | 48.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.4 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +2.9
Over 18.5: 69% · 1.90
Under 18.5: 31% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Iatcenko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Claire Liu WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Caroline Dolehide W100 Landisville |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 04/08 | Iryna Shymanovich W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/07 | Julieta Pareja WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Vera Zvonareva WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Ashlyn Krueger Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Zhuoxuan Bai Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 23/06 | Leyre Romero Gormaz Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/06 | Martyna Kubka W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Anastasia Tikhonova W50 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
Julie Struplova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08 | Sonja Zhiyenbayeva W35 Vigo |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Alice Rame WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 19/07 | Radka Zelnickova W75 Olomouc |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/07 | Aneta Kucmova W75 Olomouc |
2-0 | 11-8 | W |
| 17/07 | Carolina Kuhl W75 Olomouc |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 16/07 | Julie Pastikova W75 Olomouc |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/07 | Jana Otzipka W75 Olomouc |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 11/07 | Rositsa Dencheva W35 Buzau |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/07 | Francesca Gandolfi W35 Buzau |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/07 | Pia Lovric W35 Buzau |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Iatcenko vs Julie Struplova?
Our model gives 67% to Polina Iatcenko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.