Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 20:00

Prediction: Angela Fita Boluda vs Lin Zhu

Team pages: Angela Fita Boluda · Lin Zhu

Prediction summary
Winner
29% 71%
Angela Fita Boluda Lin Zhu
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 18.5
Recent form · 10 last
Angela Fita Boluda 6-4 (W-L)
LLLWWWWWLW
Lin Zhu 8-2 (W-L)
WWWWLWWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Angela Fita Boluda 1525 · Lin Zhu 1509
Angela Fita BoludaLin Zhu
Our model52%48%
Market11%89%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Angela Fita BoludaLin Zhu
Win %50%50%
Win % · Grass 0% (1) 57% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.11.3-1.1
Games (G-P)10.9-10.411.1-10.7
Aces2.41.9
Double faults2.42.8
1st serve %65.7%63.7%
Break %55.9%44.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.5 · Bet365 line 18.5 · +4
Over 18.5: 76% · 1.90 Under 18.5: 24% · 1.80

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Angela Fita Boluda

LWWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/07 Aurora Zantedeschi
W75 Hechingen
2-0 12-5 W
24/07 Alicia Herrero Linana
W100 Amstetten
0-2 10-13 L
23/07 Jana Otzipka
W100 Amstetten
1-0 9-6 W
21/07 Irina Balus
W100 Amstetten
2-0 13-8 W
17/07 Petra Sedlackova
W75 Olomouc
1-2 9-14 L
16/07 Aneta Laboutkova
W75 Olomouc
2-1 19-15 W
14/07 Jule Niemeier
W75 Olomouc
2-0 12-5 W
07/07 Lisa Pigato
WTA Contrexeville · Clay
1-2 13-14 L
01/07 Anastasiya Konstantinovna Soboleva
W50 Stuttgart-Vaihingen · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
23/06 Lina Gjorcheska
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 6-12 L

Lin Zhu

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Lilli Tagger
WTA Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 8-15 L
01/08 Leolia Jeanjean
WTA Toronto · Hard
1-2 11-14 L
25/06 Teodora Kostovic
Wimbledon Women · Grass
0-2 7-12 L
24/06 Tiantsoa Sarah Rakotomanga Rajaonah
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
23/06 Mona Barthel
Wimbledon Women · Grass
2-0 12-7 W
15/06 Katerina Siniakova
WTA Berlin · Grass
0-2 6-12 L
15/06 Sinja Kraus
WTA Berlin · Grass
2-0 12-5 W
07/06 Katie Volynets
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
1-2 14-19 L
06/06 Carol Young Suh Lee
WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass
2-1 16-11 W
30/04 Valentina Ryser
W100 Gifu · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Angela Fita Boluda vs Lin Zhu?

Our model gives 71% to Lin Zhu, using surface Elo on grass.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.