Tennis · US Open · 24/08, 17:00

Prediction: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frederico Ferreira Silva

Team pages: Diego Dedura-Palomero · Frederico Ferreira Silva

Prediction summary
Winner
58% 42%
Diego Dedura-Palomero Frederico Ferreira Silva
Estimated games
22.7Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Diego Dedura-Palomero 7-3 (W-L)
WLWWWWWWLL
Frederico Ferreira Silva 5-5 (W-L)
LWWLWLLWWL
Head-to-head
Diego Dedura-Palomero 0–1 Frederico Ferreira Silva (1 last)
  • 21 Feb0-2 7-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Diego Dedura-Palomero 1557 · Frederico Ferreira Silva 1462
Diego Dedura-PalomeroFrederico Ferreira Silva
Our model63%37%
Market54%46%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Diego Dedura-Palomero (rating 1557 vs 1462).
  • Diego Dedura-Palomero is in better form: 70% recent wins.
  • Head-to-head: Diego Dedura-Palomero 0–1 Frederico Ferreira Silva (1).

Statistics

Diego Dedura-PalomeroFrederico Ferreira Silva
Win %70%30%
Win % · Clay 70% (10) 33% (9)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.80.9-1.6
Games (G-P)11-9.711.6-12.4
Aces0.82.7
Double faults0.62.6
1st serve %67.4%69.8%
Break %46.7%34.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.7 · Bet365 line 22.5
Over 22.5: 52% · 1.80 Under 22.5: 48% · 1.90

H2H · Diego Dedura-Palomero 01 Frederico Ferreira Silva (1)

Head-to-head (H2H) · Diego Dedura-Palomero 01 Frederico Ferreira Silva

Swipe the table sideways →

DateSetsGamesRes.
21/02/25
M25 Vila Real de Santo Antonio
0-27-12L

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Diego Dedura-Palomero

WWWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/08 Max Hans Rehberg
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
05/08 Zsombor Piros
Challenger Hagen · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
04/08 Dominik Recek
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 13-7 W
26/07 Otto Virtanen
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-1 18-13 W
25/07 Gauthier Onclin
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-1 15-14 W
24/07 Igor Marcondes
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-0 12-4 W
23/07 Guido Ivan Justo
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
21/07 Nicolas Kicker
Challenger Tampere · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
10/07 Jan Choinski
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 5-12 L
08/07 Dalibor Svrcina
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 13-9 W

Frederico Ferreira Silva

LLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
31/07 Jan Kumstat
Challenger Liberec · Clay
0-2 9-13 L
29/07 Nicolas Kicker
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-1 16-9 W
28/07 Maks Kasnikowski
Challenger Liberec · Clay
2-1 15-10 W
20/07 Luca Van Assche
ATP Estoril · Clay
1-2 13-19 L
12/07 Martin Krumich
ATP Bastad · Clay
0-2 6-12 L
07/07 Luka Pavlovic
Challenger Iasi · Clay
1-2 13-14 L
02/07 Olle Wallin
Challenger Brasov · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
30/06 Edas Butvilas
Challenger Brasov · Clay
2-0 12-6 W
22/06 Matej Dodig
Wimbledon · Grass
1-2 18-17 L
17/06 Gonzalo Bueno
Challenger Poznan · Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Frederico Ferreira Silva?

Our model gives 58% to Diego Dedura-Palomero, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.