Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Arantxa Rus vs Teodora Kostovic
Team pages: Arantxa Rus · Teodora Kostovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Arantxa Rus
Teodora Kostovic
Estimated games
21.7Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arantxa Rus
5-5 (W-L)
Teodora Kostovic
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arantxa Rus 1495 · Teodora Kostovic 1591
| Arantxa Rus | Teodora Kostovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Teodora Kostovic (rating 1495 vs 1591).
Statistics
| Arantxa Rus | Teodora Kostovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (4) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.5-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-10.7 | 11.3-7.9 |
| Aces | 1.5 | 4 |
| Double faults | 2 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 57.6% | 65.4% |
| Break % | 41.1% | 57.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.2
Over 20.5: 58% · 1.80
Under 20.5: 42% · 1.90
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arantxa Rus
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Britt Du Pree W35 Vigo |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 12/08 | Anna Kubareva W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Oceane Dodin W75 Ourense |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Dominika Salkova W100 Gran Canaria |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Isabella Maria Serban W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Ane Mintegi Del Olmo W100 Gran Canaria |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/07 | Elina Avanesyan WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Chloe Paquet WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 13-14 | W |
| 19/07 | Ekaterina Kazionova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Kitzbuhel · Clay |
1-2 | 8-12 | L |
Teodora Kostovic
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Martyna Kubka WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 26/07 | Vivian Wolff W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/07 | Anna Siskova W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/07 | Julie Pastikova W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/07 | Kali Supova W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 21/07 | Arabella Koller W100 Amstetten |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 16/07 | Lucia Bronzetti WTA Rome · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Jennifer Ruggeri WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 10/07 | Tamara Zidansek W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arantxa Rus vs Teodora Kostovic?
Our model gives 64% to Teodora Kostovic, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.