Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Viktoria Hruncakova vs Julia Riera
Team pages: Viktoria Hruncakova · Julia Riera
Prediction summary
Winner
Viktoria Hruncakova
Julia Riera
Estimated games
20.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Viktoria Hruncakova
6-4 (W-L)
Julia Riera
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Viktoria Hruncakova
1–1
Julia Riera
(2 last)
- 14 Nov0-2 3-12L
- 11 Nov2-1 15-14W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Viktoria Hruncakova 1511 · Julia Riera 1600
| Viktoria Hruncakova | Julia Riera | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 44% | 56% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Julia Riera (rating 1511 vs 1600).
- Viktoria Hruncakova dominates on serve: 8.2 aces and 49.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Viktoria Hruncakova | Julia Riera | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 33% (3) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.7-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-8.4 | 13.1-7.7 |
| Aces | 8.2 | 1.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.7 |
| 1st serve % | 75.3% | 69% |
| Break % | 49.9% | 60.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -1.6
Over 22.5: 39% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 61% · 1.83
H2H · Viktoria Hruncakova 1 – 1 Julia Riera (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Viktoria Hruncakova 1–1 Julia Riera
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/25 Billie Jean King Cup | 0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 11/11/23 Billie Jean King Cup | 2-1 | 15-14 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Viktoria Hruncakova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Susan Bandecchi WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Amelia Rajecki W50 Dublin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Esther Adeshina W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 28/07 | Astrid Cirotte W50 Dublin |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 16/07 | Vera Zvonareva WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 14/07 | Cagla Buyukakcay WTA Istanbul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 12/07 | Valentina Ryser W35 Don Benito |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/07 | Melisa Ercan W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 10/07 | Zuzanna Pawlikowska W35 Don Benito |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Julia Riera
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Lucciana Perez Alarcon W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 25/07 | Laura Pigossi W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/07 | Nauhany Vitoria Leme Da Silva W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 23/07 | Carolina Bohrer Martins W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/07 | Giovana Schincariol Delatorre Barbosa W75 Vacaria |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 17/07 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Danka Kovinic WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Rome · Clay |
2-1 | 16-8 | W |
| 10/07 | Ekaterine Gorgodze W100 Aschaffenburg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/07 | Martina Trevisan W100 Aschaffenburg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Viktoria Hruncakova vs Julia Riera?
Our model gives 59% to Julia Riera, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.