Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Alina Charaeva vs Susan Bandecchi
Team pages: Alina Charaeva · Susan Bandecchi
Prediction summary
Winner
Alina Charaeva
Susan Bandecchi
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alina Charaeva
5-5 (W-L)
Susan Bandecchi
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alina Charaeva
2–2
Susan Bandecchi
(4 last)
- 19 Jun2-1 18-14W
- 05 Oct1-2 10-16L
- 16 Aug2-1 15-11W
- 07 Nov0-2 4-12L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alina Charaeva 1540 · Susan Bandecchi 1527
| Alina Charaeva | Susan Bandecchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alina Charaeva makes many double faults (4.9/match).
Statistics
| Alina Charaeva | Susan Bandecchi | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (2) | 40% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1.1 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11 | 11.7-8.8 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 4.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 63.6% | 69.6% |
| Break % | 42.7% | 44% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1
Over 21.5: 57% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 43% · 1.90
H2H · Alina Charaeva 2 – 2 Susan Bandecchi (4)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alina Charaeva 2–2 Susan Bandecchi
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/06/26 WTA Figueira da Foz | 2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 05/10/24 ITF W35 Baza | 1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 16/08/23 ITF W25 Ourense | 2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 07/11/20 ITF W15 Lousada | 0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alina Charaeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Nikola Bartunkova WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 12/08 | Rebecca Marino WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/07 | Anna Bondar WTA Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/07 | Sinja Kraus WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 21/07 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/07 | Yulia Putintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 13/07 | Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 25/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 24/06 | Caroline Werner Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 23/06 | Elizabeth Mandlik Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Susan Bandecchi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Alana Smith W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 14/08 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Aldershot |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 13/08 | Mimi Xu W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/08 | Eliz Maloney W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/08 | Brooke Black W35 Aldershot |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/08 | Vendula Valdmannova WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 05/08 | Veronika Podrez WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/08 | Viktoria Hruncakova WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/07 | Xinyu Gao WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 13/07 | Anastasia Gasanova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alina Charaeva vs Susan Bandecchi?
Our model gives 56% to Alina Charaeva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.