Tennis · US Open · 24/08, 17:00

Prediction: Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rincon

Team pages: Titouan Droguet · Daniel Rincon

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Titouan Droguet Daniel Rincon
Estimated games
24.3Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Titouan Droguet 7-3 (W-L)
LWLLWWWWWW
Daniel Rincon 4-6 (W-L)
WWWLLLWLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Titouan Droguet 1526 · Daniel Rincon 1495
Titouan DroguetDaniel Rincon
Our model54%46%
Market78%22%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Titouan Droguet dominates on serve: 6.1 aces and 40.3% break avg.

Statistics

Titouan DroguetDaniel Rincon
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 33% (3) 50% (10)
Sets (G-P)1.4-1.11.3-1.4
Games (G-P)11.5-11.613.7-14.8
Aces6.15.1
Double faults3.62.5
1st serve %70.9%69.1%
Break %40.3%41.1%
Estimated total games (ours) 24.3 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +3.8
Over 20.5: 75% · 1.83 Under 20.5: 25% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Titouan Droguet

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
14/08 Matteo Berrettini
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 11-15 L
13/08 Stefanos Sakellaridis
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
12/08 Alexei Popyrin
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
07/08 Brandon Nakashima
ATP Montreal · Hard
1-2 13-17 L
06/08 Jaime Faria
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
03/08 Luca Van Assche
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-1 15-16 W
01/08 Dalibor Svrcina
ATP Montreal · Hard
2-1 16-13 W
22/07 Hugo Gaston
ATP Estoril · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
20/07 Camilo Ugo Carabelli
ATP Estoril · Clay
2-1 15-10 W
16/07 Daniel Merida Aguilar
ATP Umag · Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Daniel Rincon

LWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
04/08 Zsombor Piros
Challenger Hagen · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
27/07 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Challenger San Marino · Clay
1-2 14-18 L
22/07 Thiago Seyboth Wild
Challenger Zug · Clay
1-2 15-17 L
20/07 Thomas Faurel
Challenger Zug · Clay
2-1 18-18 W
11/07 Jan Choinski
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
10/07 Laslo Djere
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-1 18-14 W
08/07 Sebastian Ofner
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-1 16-14 W
07/07 Tom Gentzsch
Challenger Braunschweig · Clay
2-0 12-8 W
04/07 Facundo Diaz Acosta
Challenger Milan · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
03/07 Francisco Comesana
Challenger Milan · Clay
2-1 18-17 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Titouan Droguet vs Daniel Rincon?

Our model gives 68% to Titouan Droguet, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.