Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Joanna Garland vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
Team pages: Joanna Garland · Leyre Romero Gormaz
Prediction summary
Winner
Joanna Garland
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Estimated games
22Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Joanna Garland
2-8 (W-L)
Leyre Romero Gormaz
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Joanna Garland 1460 · Leyre Romero Gormaz 1518
| Joanna Garland | Leyre Romero Gormaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Leyre Romero Gormaz (rating 1460 vs 1518).
- Note: Joanna Garland makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Joanna Garland | Leyre Romero Gormaz | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (4) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.5 | 1.3-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-12.7 | 10.6-9.9 |
| Aces | 7.8 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 3.9 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 58.5% |
| Break % | 31.2% | 56.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22 · Bet365 line 22.5 · -0.5
Over 22.5: 46% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 54% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Joanna Garland
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Tyra Caterina Grant Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Celine Naef Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 07/06 | Robin Montgomery WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/06 | Britt Du Pree WTA Hertogenbosch · Grass |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/06 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/05 | Angela Fita Boluda W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/05 | Lucie Nguyen Tan W75 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/05 | Kathinka Von Deichmann French Open Women · Clay |
1-2 | 10-18 | L |
| 13/05 | Tena Lukas W75 Zagreb · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/03 | Taylor Townsend WTA Indian Wells · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Leyre Romero Gormaz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Sara Sorribes Tormo WTA Targu Mures · Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Oleksandra Oliynykova WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Hamburg · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/07 | Panna Udvardy WTA Iasi · Clay |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 13/07 | Zhibek Kulambayeva WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 12/07 | Cristiana Nicoleta Todoni WTA Iasi · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 09/07 | Simona Waltert WTA Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/07 | Miriam Bulgaru WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/07 | Darja Semenistaja WTA Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 23/06 | Polina Iatcenko Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Joanna Garland vs Leyre Romero Gormaz?
Our model gives 51% to Joanna Garland, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.