Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 17:00

Prediction: Janae Preston vs Nao Hibino

Team pages: Janae Preston · Nao Hibino

Prediction summary
Winner
43% 57%
Janae Preston Nao Hibino
Estimated games
21Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Janae Preston 7-3 (W-L)
WLLWWWWWWL
Nao Hibino 5-5 (W-L)
LWLLWWLWWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Janae Preston 1546 · Nao Hibino 1516
Janae PrestonNao Hibino
Our model54%46%
Market34%66%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Janae PrestonNao Hibino
Win %60%50%
Win % · Clay 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.4-0.91.3-1.1
Games (G-P)10.7-8.211.6-9.8
Aces0.92.9
Double faults3.23.9
1st serve %63.3%69.1%
Break %63.2%38.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -0.5
Over 21.5: 47% · 1.83 Under 21.5: 53% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Janae Preston

WWLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Ayana Akli
W75 Lexington
0-2 6-12 L
29/04 Hibah Shaikh
W35 Boca Raton
1-2 16-14 L
26/04 Welles Newman
W15 Orlando · ~Clay
1-2 12-16 L
25/04 Justina Maria Gonzalez Daniele
W15 Orlando · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
24/04 Maria Jose Portillo Ramirez
W15 Orlando · ~Clay
2-0 12-4 W
23/04 Jessica Hinojosa Gomez
W15 Orlando · ~Clay
2-0 12-5 W
22/04 Camila Romero
W15 Orlando · ~Clay
2-0 12-2 W
02/04 Savannah Broadus
W35 Jackson · ~Clay
0-2 6-12 L
01/04 Diletta Cherubini
W35 Jackson · ~Clay
2-1 11-11 W
31/03 Rhiann Newborn
W35 Jackson · ~Clay
2-0 8-1 W

Nao Hibino

WLLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
30/07 Mananchaya Sawangkaew
WTA Vancouver · Hard
1-2 9-15 L
28/07 Teah Chavez
WTA Vancouver · Hard
2-0 12-3 W
18/07 Sofia Costoulas
WTA Prague · Hard
1-2 16-19 L
14/07 Clara Tauson
WTA Athens · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
12/07 Miriana Tona
WTA Athens · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
07/07 Lucie Havlickova
W50 Corroios-Seixal
2-0 12-4 W
03/07 Carol Young Suh Lee
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
0-2 6-12 L
02/07 Vaishnavi Adkar
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-1 15-8 W
01/07 Iveta Dapkute
W50 Elvas · ~Hard
2-0 13-7 W
24/06 Darja Semenistaja
Wimbledon Women · Grass
1-2 12-13 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Janae Preston vs Nao Hibino?

Our model gives 57% to Nao Hibino, using surface Elo on clay.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.