Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Lucie Havlickova vs Elizara Yaneva
Team pages: Lucie Havlickova · Elizara Yaneva
Prediction summary
Winner
Lucie Havlickova
Elizara Yaneva
Estimated games
22.8Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Lucie Havlickova
5-5 (W-L)
Elizara Yaneva
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lucie Havlickova
1–0
Elizara Yaneva
(1 last)
- 23 Nov2-1 16-16W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lucie Havlickova 1500 · Elizara Yaneva 1522
| Lucie Havlickova | Elizara Yaneva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Lucie Havlickova 1–0 Elizara Yaneva (1).
- Note: Lucie Havlickova makes many double faults (6.9/match).
- Note: Elizara Yaneva makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Lucie Havlickova | Elizara Yaneva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 75% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.4-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.3-11.7 | 12.1-11.5 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 6.9 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 68.8% | 58.9% |
| Break % | 53% | 45.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.8 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.3
Over 21.5: 59% · 1.80
Under 21.5: 41% · 1.90
H2H · Lucie Havlickova 1 – 0 Elizara Yaneva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lucie Havlickova 1–0 Elizara Yaneva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/11/25 ITF W50 Trnava | 2-1 | 16-16 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lucie Havlickova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Valeriya Strakhova W50 Prague |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Victoria Bervid W50 Prague |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Alycia Parks WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Harmony Tan WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 07/07 | Nao Hibino W50 Corroios-Seixal |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/07 | Maria Garcia W50 Elvas · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 23/06 | Maria Lourdes Carle Wimbledon Women · Grass |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 12/06 | Caijsa Wilda Hennemann W75 Ceska Lipa · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
Elizara Yaneva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Gabriela Knutson WTA Warsaw · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Mona Barthel WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 15-16 | W |
| 05/08 | Yue Yuan WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 17-9 | W |
| 04/08 | Linda Klimovicova WTA Warsaw · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 20/07 | Federica Urgesi WTA Palermo · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 17/07 | Martina Trevisan WTA Rome · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 15/07 | Sofya Lansere WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 13/07 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Rome · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/06 | Katie Volynets Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Yuriko Lily Miyazaki Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lucie Havlickova vs Elizara Yaneva?
Our model gives 56% to Elizara Yaneva, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.