Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Carson Branstine vs Clervie Ngounoue
Team pages: Clervie Ngounoue
Prediction summary
Winner
Carson Branstine
Clervie Ngounoue
Estimated games
21.7Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Carson Branstine
6-4 (W-L)
Clervie Ngounoue
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Carson Branstine 1510 · Clervie Ngounoue 1496
| Carson Branstine | Clervie Ngounoue | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Carson Branstine | Clervie Ngounoue | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 50% |
| Win % · Clay | 57% (7) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-10.7 | 10.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 1.7 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 64% | 62.5% |
| Break % | 65.5% | 52.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7 · Bet365 line 21.5
Over 21.5: 52% · 1.83
Under 21.5: 48% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Carson Branstine
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/01 | Astra Sharma Australian Open Women · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 04/01 | Vera Zvonareva WTA Canberra · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/11 | Julia Garcia Billie Jean King Cup |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 05/10 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Rende · Clay |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 29/09 | Bernarda Pera WTA Rende · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/09 | Darja Semenistaja WTA San Sebastian · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Julia Grabher WTA San Sebastian · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 09/09 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA San Sebastian · Clay |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 07/09 | Francesca Curmi WTA San Sebastian · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Clervie Ngounoue
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/08 | Yexin Ma W100 Landisville |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Reina Goto W100 Landisville |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 03/08 | Olivia Lincer W100 Landisville |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 25/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 02/07 | Lea Ma W100 Cary · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 01/07 | Sahaja Yamalapalli W100 Cary · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 24/06 | Polina Kudermetova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Anna-Lena Friedsam Wimbledon Women · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 08/06 | Iryna Shymanovich WTA Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/06 | Maria Kozyreva WTA Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Carson Branstine vs Clervie Ngounoue?
Our model gives 51% to Carson Branstine, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.