Tennis · US Open Women · 24/08, 17:00
Prediction: Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova
Team pages: Polina Kudermetova · Linda Fruhvirtova
Prediction summary
Winner
Polina Kudermetova
Linda Fruhvirtova
Estimated games
22.5Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Polina Kudermetova
3-7 (W-L)
Linda Fruhvirtova
3-7 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Polina Kudermetova
1–0
Linda Fruhvirtova
(1 last)
- 23 Sept2-1 18-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polina Kudermetova 1532 · Linda Fruhvirtova 1420
| Polina Kudermetova | Linda Fruhvirtova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polina Kudermetova (rating 1532 vs 1420).
- Polina Kudermetova is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Polina Kudermetova 1–0 Linda Fruhvirtova (1).
- Note: Polina Kudermetova makes many double faults (6.9/match).
- Note: Linda Fruhvirtova makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Polina Kudermetova | Linda Fruhvirtova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 17% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.3 | 0.6-1.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-12.5 | 9.4-13.4 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 6.9 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65.5% | 59.5% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.5 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1
Over 21.5: 57% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 43% · 1.80
H2H · Polina Kudermetova 1 – 0 Linda Fruhvirtova (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polina Kudermetova 1–0 Linda Fruhvirtova
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09/24 WTA Beijing | 2-1 | 18-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polina Kudermetova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Xiyu Wang WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 13/08 | Carol Young Suh Lee WTA Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 01/08 | Avery Alexander WTA Toronto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 31/07 | Elina Svitolina WTA Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Cristina Bucsa WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 26/07 | Varvara Lepchenko WTA Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 25/07 | Mei Yamaguchi WTA Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/07 | Maria Sakkari WTA Athens · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 05/07 | Liv Boulard WTA Contrexeville · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Ludmilla Samsonova Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
Linda Fruhvirtova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Warsaw · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 27/07 | Anastasia Zakharova WTA Memphis · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 21/07 | Barbora Krejcikova WTA Prague · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/07 | Xinyu Gao WTA Prague · Hard |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 18/07 | Elena Micic WTA Prague · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/07 | Xinyu Gao WTA Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 23/06 | Emerson Jones Wimbledon Women · Grass |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 09/06 | Darja Vidmanova WTA Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 03/06 | Tatjana Maria WTA Birmingham · Grass |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 26/05 | Elsa Jacquemot French Open Women · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polina Kudermetova vs Linda Fruhvirtova?
Our model gives 66% to Polina Kudermetova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.