Prediction: Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal
Team pages: Arthur Gea · Sumit Nagal
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Gea
Sumit Nagal
Estimated games
21.7Bet365 line 20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Gea
7-3 (W-L)
Sumit Nagal
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Gea 1621 · Sumit Nagal 1533
| Arthur Gea | Sumit Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Arthur Gea (rating 1621 vs 1533).
- Arthur Gea is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Arthur Gea | Sumit Nagal | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 90% (10) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.6 | 1.1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-9.2 | 10.7-10.3 |
| Aces | 4.7 | 1.3 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.9% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 56.6% | 43.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7 · Bet365 line 20.5 · +1.2
Over 20.5: 58% · 1.83
Under 20.5: 42% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Gea
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/08 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 31/07 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Michael Zheng ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 29/07 | Soonwoo Kwon ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 19/07 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 18/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Liam Draxl Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 17/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/07 | Fajing Sun Challenger Granby · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Sumit Nagal
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Prague · Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Max Houkes Challenger Hamburg · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Liberec · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Martin Krumich Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/07 | Petr Brunclik Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 27/07 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Liberec · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Andrej Nedic Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 17/07 | Federico Bondioli Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 16/07 | Juan Bautista Torres Challenger Cordenons · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Gea vs Sumit Nagal?
Our model gives 72% to Arthur Gea, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.