Tennis · US Open · 24/08, 17:00

Prediction: Coleman Wong vs Elmer Moller

Team pages: Coleman Wong · Elmer Moller

Prediction summary
Winner
68% 32%
Coleman Wong Elmer Moller
Estimated games
20.9Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Coleman Wong 7-3 (W-L)
WLWLWWWWWL
Elmer Moller 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWWWLLWL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Coleman Wong 1573 · Elmer Moller 1503
Coleman WongElmer Moller
Our model60%40%
Market75%25%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleman Wong (rating 1573 vs 1503).
  • Note: Coleman Wong makes many double faults (4/match).
  • Note: Elmer Moller makes many double faults (5.6/match).

Statistics

Coleman WongElmer Moller
Win %70%50%
Win % · Hard 70% (10) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.81.1-1
Games (G-P)11.6-10.49.7-10.5
Aces9.91.8
Double faults45.6
1st serve %76.2%66.9%
Break %34.1%45.2%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9 · Bet365 line 21.5 · -0.6
Over 21.5: 46% · 1.83 Under 21.5: 54% · 1.83

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Coleman Wong

WLWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/08 Sebastian Baez
Challenger Cancun · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
21/08 Alan Magadan
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-1 14-16 W
19/08 Alexandre Muller
Challenger Cancun · Hard
2-0 12-4 W
14/08 Daniel Altmaier
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
13/08 Otto Virtanen
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 14-12 W
11/08 Seong Chan Hong
ATP Cincinnati · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
01/08 Arthur Gea
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
31/07 Jenson Brooksby
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
30/07 Jiri Lehecka
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
2-1 13-13 W
28/07 Darwin Blanch
ATP Los Cabos · Hard
2-0 12-7 W

Elmer Moller

WLLWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
19/08 Anton Matusevich
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
0-2 4-12 L
18/08 Ivan Ivanov
Challenger Roehampton · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
11/08 Rudolf Molleker
Challenger Hamburg · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
08/08 Jerome Kym
Challenger Hagen · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
07/08 Carlos Taberner
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 14-11 W
06/08 Raul Brancaccio
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 14-12 W
04/08 Jamie Mackenzie
Challenger Hagen · Clay
2-0 12-5 W
29/07 Jamie Mackenzie
Challenger Bonn · Clay
1-2 10-13 L
28/07 Marko Topo
Challenger Bonn · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
12/07 Thomas Faurel
ATP Bastad · Clay
0-2 7-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Coleman Wong vs Elmer Moller?

Our model gives 68% to Coleman Wong, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.