Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 21/08, 17:00
Prediction: Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima
Team pages: Taylor Fritz · Brandon Nakashima
Prediction summary
Winner
Taylor Fritz
Brandon Nakashima
Estimated games
22.6Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Taylor Fritz
8-2 (W-L)
Brandon Nakashima
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Taylor Fritz
4–2
Brandon Nakashima
(6 last)
- 02 Aug2-1 15-12W
- 12 Feb2-0 12-7W
- 14 Aug1-2 16-17L
- 10 Oct2-0 12-7W
- 30 Jun3-1 23-20W
- 27 Dec0-2 10-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taylor Fritz 1607 · Brandon Nakashima 1581
| Taylor Fritz | Brandon Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 62% | 38% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Taylor Fritz 4–2 Brandon Nakashima (6).
Statistics
| Taylor Fritz | Brandon Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 89% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1.7-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-10.1 | 14.4-11.1 |
| Aces | 10.1 | 11.4 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 78.6% | 81.9% |
| Break % | 36.2% | 30.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6 · Bet365 line 23.5 · -0.9
Over 23.5: 44% · 2.00
Under 23.5: 56% · 1.72
H2H · Taylor Fritz 4 – 2 Brandon Nakashima (6)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taylor Fritz 4–2 Brandon Nakashima
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 ATP Washington | 2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/02/26 ATP Dallas | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08/24 ATP Cincinnati | 1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 10/10/21 ATP Indian Wells | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/06/21 Wimbledon | 3-1 | 23-20 | W |
| 27/12/19 Hawaii Open | 0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taylor Fritz
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Alex Michelsen ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Zizou Bergs ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
Brandon Nakashima
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Nuno Borges ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 18/08 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 16/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/08 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 07/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taylor Fritz vs Brandon Nakashima?
Our model gives 58% to Taylor Fritz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.