Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 21/08, 02:30
Prediction: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils
Team pages: Thiago Agustin Tirante · Arthur Fils
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Arthur Fils
Estimated games
23.9Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Agustin Tirante
7-3 (W-L)
Arthur Fils
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Agustin Tirante 1599 · Arthur Fils 1567
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Arthur Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 24% | 76% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Arthur Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.7 | 1.6-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 14-12.4 | 13.8-10.6 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 6.9 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 78.8% | 78.2% |
| Break % | 35.7% | 38.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.9 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1.4
Over 22.5: 59% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 41% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 17/08 | Martin Landaluce ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Novak Djokovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Jan Choinski ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 09/08 | Learner Tien ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Duncan Chan ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Arthur Fils
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/08 | Alex De Minaur ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 18/08 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 16/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Cameron Norrie ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Zachary Svajda ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Matteo Berrettini Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 30/06 | Raphael Collignon Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Arthur Fils?
Our model gives 62% to Arthur Fils, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.