Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 19/08, 17:00
Prediction: Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashima
Team pages: Nuno Borges · Brandon Nakashima
Prediction summary
Winner
Nuno Borges
Brandon Nakashima
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Nuno Borges
6-4 (W-L)
Brandon Nakashima
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Nuno Borges 1575 · Brandon Nakashima 1606
| Nuno Borges | Brandon Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Nuno Borges | Brandon Nakashima | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 86% (7) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.8 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-11.1 | 13.9-10.8 |
| Aces | 8.8 | 9.7 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 1.4 |
| 1st serve % | 81.4% | 81.7% |
| Break % | 39.3% | 33.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 24.5 · -1
Over 24.5: 43% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 57% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nuno Borges
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Andrey Rublev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Francisco Cerundolo ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 14/08 | Thanasi Kokkinakis ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-19 | W |
| 08/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 22/07 | Roman Andres Burruchaga ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 21/07 | Orlando Luz ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Bastad · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Brandon Nakashima
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 16/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 11/08 | Luciano Darderi ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 08/08 | Arthur Rinderknech ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 07/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 05/08 | Daniel Altmaier ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 02/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 31/07 | Alex De Minaur ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nuno Borges vs Brandon Nakashima?
Our model gives 56% to Brandon Nakashima, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.