Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 20/08, 17:00
Prediction: Taylor Fritz vs Christopher O'Connell
Team pages: Taylor Fritz · Christopher O'Connell
Prediction summary
Winner
Taylor Fritz
Christopher O'Connell
Estimated games
22.7Bet365 line 21.5
Recent form · 10 last
Taylor Fritz
8-2 (W-L)
Christopher O'Connell
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Taylor Fritz
3–0
Christopher O'Connell
(3 last)
- 25 Apr2-0 12-5W
- 02 Jul3-0 18-7W
- 29 Apr2-0 13-10W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Taylor Fritz 1590 · Christopher O'Connell 1558
| Taylor Fritz | Christopher O'Connell | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 86% | 14% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Taylor Fritz dominates on serve: 11.4 aces and 40.8% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Taylor Fritz 3–0 Christopher O'Connell (3).
Statistics
| Taylor Fritz | Christopher O'Connell | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 88% (8) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-10.8 | 12.7-11.8 |
| Aces | 11.4 | 7.8 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 79.9% | 76.8% |
| Break % | 40.8% | 38.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7 · Bet365 line 21.5 · +1.2
Over 21.5: 58% · 1.90
Under 21.5: 42% · 1.80
H2H · Taylor Fritz 3 – 0 Christopher O'Connell (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Taylor Fritz 3–0 Christopher O'Connell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/25 ATP Madrid | 2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/07/24 Wimbledon | 3-0 | 18-7 | W |
| 29/04/23 ATP Madrid | 2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Taylor Fritz
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Daniel Merida Aguilar ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/08 | Alex Michelsen ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Thiago Agustin Tirante ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 03/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 02/08 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 31/07 | Alex Michelsen ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 29/07 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/07 | Zizou Bergs ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 08/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 10-18 | L |
| 06/07 | Alexander Bublik Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-14 | W |
Christopher O'Connell
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Kamil Majchrzak ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 13/08 | Alexander Shevchenko ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/08 | Dane Sweeny ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 03/08 | James Duckworth ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Jaime Faria ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/07 | Andres Martin ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 25/06 | Mackenzie McDonald Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 11-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Bernard Tomic Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Joel Schwaerzler Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/06 | Otto Virtanen Challenger Nottingham · Grass |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Taylor Fritz vs Christopher O'Connell?
Our model gives 72% to Taylor Fritz, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.