Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 19/08, 21:00
Prediction: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensik
Team pages: Thiago Agustin Tirante · Jakub Mensik
Prediction summary
Winner
Thiago Agustin Tirante
Jakub Mensik
Estimated games
25.6Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Thiago Agustin Tirante
7-3 (W-L)
Jakub Mensik
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Thiago Agustin Tirante 1581 · Jakub Mensik 1563
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Jakub Mensik | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 47% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Jakub Mensik makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Thiago Agustin Tirante | Jakub Mensik | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 86% (7) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.7-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.5-12.8 | 15.4-14.3 |
| Aces | 8.9 | 12.5 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.7% | 78.7% |
| Break % | 31.4% | 30% |
Estimated total games (ours)
25.6 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +3.1
Over 22.5: 71% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 29% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Thiago Agustin Tirante
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Martin Landaluce ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 15/08 | Novak Djokovic ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 13/08 | Jan Choinski ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 09/08 | Learner Tien ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/08 | Alexei Popyrin ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Taylor Fritz ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Duncan Chan ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 16/07 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 14/07 | Sebastian Ofner ATP Bastad · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/06 | Fabian Marozsan Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-19 | L |
Jakub Mensik
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/08 | Mattia Bellucci ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 16-17 | W |
| 12/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/08 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Terence Atmane ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 06/08 | Jacob Fearnley ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 30/07 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Washington · Hard |
1-2 | 16-16 | L |
| 28/07 | Trevor Svajda ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Grigor Dimitrov Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 20-24 | L |
| 30/06 | Toby Samuel Wimbledon · Grass |
3-2 | 27-25 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Jakub Mensik?
Our model gives 57% to Jakub Mensik, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.