Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 18/08, 17:00
Prediction: Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton
Team pages: Jaime Faria · Adam Walton
Prediction summary
Winner
Jaime Faria
Adam Walton
Estimated games
23.2Bet365 line 23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jaime Faria
9-1 (W-L)
Adam Walton
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jaime Faria 1567 · Adam Walton 1531
| Jaime Faria | Adam Walton | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 57% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Jaime Faria dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 40.2% break avg.
- Note: Jaime Faria makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Jaime Faria | Adam Walton | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.8 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.6 | 13.4-12.3 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 4.8 |
| Double faults | 4.8 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71.7% | 72.1% |
| Break % | 40.2% | 42.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.2 · Bet365 line 23.5
Over 23.5: 48% · 1.90
Under 23.5: 52% · 1.80
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jaime Faria
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Ben Shelton ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 15/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Yibing Wu ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 01/08 | Christopher O'Connell ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 24/07 | Luciano Darderi ATP Estoril · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 23/07 | Gonzalo Bueno ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/07 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Estoril · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 16/07 | Casper Ruud ATP Gstaad · Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
Adam Walton
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/08 | Nicolas Mejia ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/08 | Jenson Brooksby ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Justin Boulais ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 29/07 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 24/07 | Michael Zheng Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 22/07 | Thanasi Kokkinakis Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 12/07 | Jacob Fearnley Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 11/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jaime Faria vs Adam Walton?
Our model gives 56% to Jaime Faria, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.