Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 18/08, 01:00
Prediction: Alexander Zverev vs Terence Atmane
Team pages: Alexander Zverev · Terence Atmane
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Zverev
Terence Atmane
Estimated games
28.2Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Zverev
9-1 (W-L)
Terence Atmane
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexander Zverev
1–0
Terence Atmane
(1 last)
- 27 Apr2-0 13-9W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Zverev 1586 · Terence Atmane 1488
| Alexander Zverev | Terence Atmane | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Zverev (rating 1586 vs 1488).
- Alexander Zverev dominates on serve: 14.1 aces and 44.3% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Alexander Zverev 1–0 Terence Atmane (1).
Statistics
| Alexander Zverev | Terence Atmane | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 50% |
| Win % · Grass | 75% (8) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2.3-1 | 1.2-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 18.8-16.2 | 13.1-13.8 |
| Aces | 14.1 | 8.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 79.3% | 77.1% |
| Break % | 44.3% | 31.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
28.2 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +5.7
Over 22.5: 84% · 1.90
Under 22.5: 16% · 1.80
H2H · Alexander Zverev 1 – 0 Terence Atmane (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Zverev 1–0 Terence Atmane
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 ATP Madrid | 2-0 | 13-9 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Zverev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Cameron Norrie ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/08 | Tallon Griekspoor ATP Montreal · Hard |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 12/07 | Jannik Sinner Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 20-25 | L |
| 10/07 | Arthur Fery Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 08/07 | Taylor Fritz Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 07/07 | Jiri Lehecka Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 23-21 | W |
| 04/07 | Marcos Giron Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-12 | W |
| 02/07 | Valentin Royer Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-10 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexander Blockx Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 26-23 | W |
| 20/06 | Taylor Fritz ATP Halle · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Terence Atmane
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/08 | Jakub Mensik ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 06/08 | Karen Khachanov ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Jack Draper ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 30/07 | Alejandro Tabilo ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 28/07 | Frances Tiafoe ATP Washington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 01/07 | Frances Tiafoe Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 17-23 | L |
| 22/06 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 17/06 | Daniil Medvedev ATP Halle · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Martin Landaluce ATP Halle · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Zverev vs Terence Atmane?
Our model gives 74% to Alexander Zverev, using surface Elo on grass.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (grass) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.