Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 16/08, 18:00

Prediction: Andre Ilagan vs Lloyd Harris

Team pages: Andre Ilagan · Lloyd Harris

Prediction summary
Winner
44% 56%
Andre Ilagan Lloyd Harris
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Andre Ilagan 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWLLWW
Lloyd Harris 6-4 (W-L)
WLWLWWWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Andre Ilagan 1600 · Lloyd Harris 1563
Andre IlaganLloyd Harris
Our model55%45%
Market35%65%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 13.3 aces and 46.4% break avg.

Statistics

Andre IlaganLloyd Harris
Win %80%60%
Win % · Hard 80% (10) 75% (8)
Sets (G-P)1.7-0.71.5-1.1
Games (G-P)13-10.913-11.8
Aces4.113.3
Double faults2.42.3
1st serve %67.7%73.8%
Break %41.4%46.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 23.5

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Andre Ilagan

WLWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
16/08 Jack Pinnington Jones
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
14/08 Tristan Schoolkate
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-1 14-11 W
11/08 Andres Martin
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-1 14-13 W
09/08 Edas Butvilas
Challenger Lexington · Hard
1-2 14-14 L
08/08 Spencer Johnson
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
07/08 Sebastian Gorzny
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
06/08 Soonwoo Kwon
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 16-16 W
03/08 Andy Andrade
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
26/07 Marcos Giron
ATP Washington · Hard
0-2 9-13 L
25/07 Remy Bertola
ATP Washington · Hard
2-0 14-11 W

Lloyd Harris

LWWWW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/08 Daniel Milavsky
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-1 18-13 W
14/08 Harry Wendelken
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-1 18-14 W
14/08 Mees Rottgering
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
12/08 Andrew Fenty
Challenger Brownsburg · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
05/08 Dusan Lajovic
Challenger Lexington · Hard
1-2 13-12 L
04/08 Henry Searle
Challenger Lexington · Hard
2-1 15-14 W
23/07 Alex Michelsen
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
20/07 Moez Echargui
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
02/06 Bu Yunchaokete
Challenger Birmingham · Grass
1-2 13-14 L
20/05 Andrea Pellegrino
French Open · Clay
1-2 9-15 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Andre Ilagan vs Lloyd Harris?

Our model gives 56% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.