Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 15/08, 23:30
Prediction: Andre Ilagan vs Jack Pinnington Jones
Team pages: Andre Ilagan · Jack Pinnington Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Andre Ilagan
Jack Pinnington Jones
Estimated games
24.4
Recent form · 10 last
Andre Ilagan
5-5 (W-L)
Jack Pinnington Jones
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andre Ilagan 1573 · Jack Pinnington Jones 1478
| Andre Ilagan | Jack Pinnington Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 42% | 58% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Andre Ilagan (rating 1573 vs 1478).
- Andre Ilagan is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Jack Pinnington Jones makes many double faults (4.5/match).
Statistics
| Andre Ilagan | Jack Pinnington Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.9-11.7 | 13-14 |
| Aces | 3.6 | 4.5 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 4.5 |
| 1st serve % | 66.7% | 70.5% |
| Break % | 41.8% | 44.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.4
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andre Ilagan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 09/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 03/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Marcos Giron ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Remy Bertola ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
Jack Pinnington Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 11/08 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Brandon Nakashima Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-20 | L |
| 24/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 12/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 08/06 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andre Ilagan vs Jack Pinnington Jones?
Our model gives 52% to Andre Ilagan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.