Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 14/08, 16:00
Prediction: Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate
Team pages: Andre Ilagan · Tristan Schoolkate
Prediction summary
Winner
Andre Ilagan
Tristan Schoolkate
Estimated games
24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Andre Ilagan
5-5 (W-L)
Tristan Schoolkate
5-5 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Andre Ilagan
0–2
Tristan Schoolkate
(2 last)
- 03 Jul1-2 9-15L
- 14 Feb1-2 15-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andre Ilagan 1539 · Tristan Schoolkate 1523
| Andre Ilagan | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Andre Ilagan 0–2 Tristan Schoolkate (2).
Statistics
| Andre Ilagan | Tristan Schoolkate | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.4-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 13-12.3 | 14-13.3 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 9.1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 66.3% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 43.6% | 30% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5
H2H · Andre Ilagan 0 – 2 Tristan Schoolkate (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Andre Ilagan 0–2 Tristan Schoolkate
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07/25 Challenger Cary | 1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 14/02/25 Challenger New Delhi | 1-2 | 15-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andre Ilagan
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Andres Martin Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 09/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 08/08 | Spencer Johnson Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/08 | Sebastian Gorzny Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 06/08 | Soonwoo Kwon Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 03/08 | Andy Andrade Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/07 | Marcos Giron ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/07 | Remy Bertola ATP Washington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 21/07 | Yosuke Watanuki Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/07 | Colton Smith Challenger Lincoln · Hard |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
Tristan Schoolkate
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/08 | Federico Cina Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 14/07 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 09/07 | Arthur Gea Challenger Newport · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 08/07 | August Holmgren Challenger Newport · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 25/06 | Nicolas Mejia Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 12-18 | L |
| 24/06 | Daniel Evans Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 22/06 | Johannus Monday Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/06 | Oliver Tarvet Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Paul Jubb Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andre Ilagan vs Tristan Schoolkate?
Our model gives 56% to Tristan Schoolkate, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.