Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 14/08, 20:30
Prediction: Andy Andrade vs Jack Pinnington Jones
Team pages: Andy Andrade · Jack Pinnington Jones
Prediction summary
Winner
Andy Andrade
Jack Pinnington Jones
Estimated games
23.6
Recent form · 10 last
Andy Andrade
3-7 (W-L)
Jack Pinnington Jones
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Andy Andrade 1478 · Jack Pinnington Jones 1443
| Andy Andrade | Jack Pinnington Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Andy Andrade dominates on serve: 6.3 aces and 48.3% break avg.
- Note: Andy Andrade makes many double faults (4.3/match).
- Note: Jack Pinnington Jones makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Andy Andrade | Jack Pinnington Jones | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (6) | 33% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.8-1.6 | 0.9-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.1-12.7 | 12.5-13.7 |
| Aces | 6.3 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 4.3 | 4.2 |
| 1st serve % | 66.6% | 71.9% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 41.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Andy Andrade
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Gauthier Onclin Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Joel Schwaerzler Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 03/08 | Andre Ilagan Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Braden Shick Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Alexei Popyrin Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 29/06 | Maks Kasnikowski Challenger Brasov · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Colton Smith Wimbledon · Grass |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 14/06 | Ammar Elamin Challenger Dublin · Grass |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 03/06 | Timo Legout Challenger Tyler · Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 19/05 | Jan Choinski French Open · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Jack Pinnington Jones
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 05/08 | Millen Hurrion Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 29/07 | Toby Samuel Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 30/06 | Brandon Nakashima Wimbledon · Grass |
0-3 | 14-20 | L |
| 24/06 | Jack Draper ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 22/06 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/06 | Denis Shapovalov ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 12/06 | Filippo Romano Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 08/06 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Andy Andrade vs Jack Pinnington Jones?
Our model gives 59% to Jack Pinnington Jones, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.