Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 14/08, 16:00
Prediction: Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken
Team pages: Lloyd Harris · Harry Wendelken
Prediction summary
Winner
Lloyd Harris
Harry Wendelken
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Lloyd Harris
8-2 (W-L)
Harry Wendelken
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lloyd Harris 1532 · Harry Wendelken 1482
| Lloyd Harris | Harry Wendelken | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 43% |
| Market | 71% | 29% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lloyd Harris (rating 1532 vs 1482).
- Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 14.7 aces and 44.9% break avg.
Statistics
| Lloyd Harris | Harry Wendelken | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1-1.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.3 | 12-12.8 |
| Aces | 14.7 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 1.6 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 74.4% | 67.4% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 35.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lloyd Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Henry Searle Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Moez Echargui Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Andrea Pellegrino French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Hugo Grenier French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/04 | Mackenzie McDonald ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Harry Wendelken
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Stefan Kozlov Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Borna Gojo Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 04/08 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 30/06 | Valentin Royer Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 15-22 | L |
| 20/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Eastbourne · Grass |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/06 | Botic Van De Zandschulp ATP Queens · Grass |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Aleksandar Vukic ATP Queens · Grass |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 13/06 | Adam Walton ATP Queens · Grass |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 08/06 | Jack Pinnington Jones Challenger Ilkley · Grass |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lloyd Harris vs Harry Wendelken?
Our model gives 65% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.