Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 15/08, 22:00
Prediction: Daniel Milavsky vs Lloyd Harris
Team pages: Daniel Milavsky · Lloyd Harris
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Milavsky
Lloyd Harris
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Milavsky
7-3 (W-L)
Lloyd Harris
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Milavsky 1588 · Lloyd Harris 1545
| Daniel Milavsky | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Milavsky (rating 1588 vs 1545).
- Daniel Milavsky dominates on serve: 6.6 aces and 51.1% break avg.
- Lloyd Harris dominates on serve: 15.1 aces and 46.4% break avg.
Statistics
| Daniel Milavsky | Lloyd Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-9.9 | 12.4-11.1 |
| Aces | 6.6 | 15.1 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 2.1 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 72.6% |
| Break % | 51.1% | 46.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Milavsky
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Rei Sakamoto Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 30/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Anton Shepp Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Lloyd Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Harry Wendelken Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 14/08 | Mees Rottgering Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/08 | Andrew Fenty Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Dusan Lajovic Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 13-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Henry Searle Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Alex Michelsen Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Moez Echargui Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 02/06 | Bu Yunchaokete Challenger Birmingham · Grass |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 20/05 | Andrea Pellegrino French Open · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
| 18/05 | Hugo Grenier French Open · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Milavsky vs Lloyd Harris?
Our model gives 55% to Lloyd Harris, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.