Tennis · Challenger Brownsburg · 14/08, 16:00
Prediction: Daniel Milavsky vs Rei Sakamoto
Team pages: Daniel Milavsky · Rei Sakamoto
Prediction summary
Winner
Daniel Milavsky
Rei Sakamoto
Estimated games
24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daniel Milavsky
7-3 (W-L)
Rei Sakamoto
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daniel Milavsky 1582 · Rei Sakamoto 1550
| Daniel Milavsky | Rei Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 45% |
| Market | 31% | 69% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Daniel Milavsky dominates on serve: 6.9 aces and 51.3% break avg.
Statistics
| Daniel Milavsky | Rei Sakamoto | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.8 | 1.6-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.2-10.8 | 14.8-13.3 |
| Aces | 6.9 | 11.2 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 3.3 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 74.9% |
| Break % | 51.3% | 39% |
Estimated total games (ours)
24.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daniel Milavsky
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/08 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 19-18 | W |
| 30/07 | Keegan Rice Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 29/07 | Dane Sweeny Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/07 | Yi Zhou Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 28/07 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Kaylan Bigun Challenger Vancouver · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 21/07 | Hayato Matsuoka Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Anton Shepp Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Thomas Fancutt Challenger Winnipeg · Hard |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Rei Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/08 | Dhakshineswar Suresh Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 12/08 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Brownsburg · Hard |
2-1 | 20-19 | W |
| 07/08 | Edas Butvilas Challenger Lexington · Hard |
1-2 | 17-17 | L |
| 06/08 | Michael Mmoh Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 04/08 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Lexington · Hard |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 02/07 | Timo Legout Challenger Cary · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Jules Leroux Challenger Cary · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/06 | Jaime Faria Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 19-23 | L |
| 24/06 | Mohamed Aziz Dougaz Wimbledon · Grass |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/06 | Anton Matusevich Wimbledon · Grass |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daniel Milavsky vs Rei Sakamoto?
Our model gives 58% to Rei Sakamoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.