Tennis · ATP Cincinnati · 17/08, 16:00
Prediction: Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Fils
Team pages: Jiri Lehecka · Arthur Fils
Prediction summary
Winner
Jiri Lehecka
Arthur Fils
Estimated games
23.1Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Jiri Lehecka
8-2 (W-L)
Arthur Fils
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jiri Lehecka
2–3
Arthur Fils
(5 last)
- 29 Apr0-2 7-12L
- 27 Mar2-0 12-4W
- 19 Feb0-2 6-12L
- 01 Aug2-1 15-13W
- 14 Sept1-2 16-19L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jiri Lehecka 1530 · Arthur Fils 1540
| Jiri Lehecka | Arthur Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 43% | 57% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Arthur Fils dominates on serve: 6.5 aces and 42% break avg.
- Head-to-head: Jiri Lehecka 2–3 Arthur Fils (5).
Statistics
| Jiri Lehecka | Arthur Fils | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-1.1 | 1.4-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 15.7-13 | 12.6-10.7 |
| Aces | 10.7 | 6.5 |
| Double faults | 2.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 76.6% | 78.4% |
| Break % | 36.7% | 42% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.1 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +0.6
Over 22.5: 54% · 1.80
Under 22.5: 46% · 1.90
H2H · Jiri Lehecka 2 – 3 Arthur Fils (5)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jiri Lehecka 2–3 Arthur Fils
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/04/26 ATP Madrid | 0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/03/26 ATP Miami | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/02/26 ATP Doha | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/08/25 ATP Toronto | 2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 14/09/24 Davis Cup | 1-2 | 16-19 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jiri Lehecka
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Matteo Berrettini ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 09/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/08 | Alexander Blockx ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Vit Kopriva ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 30/07 | Coleman Wong ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 07/07 | Alexander Zverev Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 21-23 | L |
| 04/07 | Jaume Munar Wimbledon · Grass |
3-1 | 22-18 | W |
| 02/07 | Alex Molcan Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-9 | W |
| 30/06 | Alexei Popyrin Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 18-10 | W |
| 18/06 | Rinky Hijikata ATP Queens · Grass |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
Arthur Fils
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Yannick Hanfmann ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 11/08 | Rafael Jodar ATP Montreal · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/08 | Cameron Norrie ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/08 | Mariano Navone ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/08 | Zachary Svajda ATP Montreal · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 28/07 | Rafael Jodar ATP Washington · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/07 | Matteo Berrettini Wimbledon · Grass |
1-3 | 18-22 | L |
| 30/06 | Raphael Collignon Wimbledon · Grass |
3-0 | 19-9 | W |
| 01/05 | Jannik Sinner ATP Madrid · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 29/04 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Madrid · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jiri Lehecka vs Arthur Fils?
Our model gives 54% to Arthur Fils, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.